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[personal profile] jamesq
I think Nenshi is a good choice, but then, I voted for him so that's a given. I've been hearing second-hand stories that the local racists don't like this turn of events. Oh well, the wing-nuts will be wing-nuts. I'm just glad that they weren't a huge presence in this election. Even the guys who got <1000 votes all seemed to be reasonable, if not terribly well-known. This is opposed to our usual Provincial elections, which tend to have at least one party full of separatist nutbars and people who think we need to round up the gays before the coming of Republican-Jesus. Sometimes they're the same party. Sometimes they're individuals in the main-stream parties.

It was really down to three candidates: Nenshi, McIver and Higgins. Higgins had a certain amount of name recognition (She's a former TV News Anchor, and at least one of my friends confused her with a former aldermen with the same surname). Unfortunately, she didn't seem to have much of a platform and a late meltdown after a tv debate didn't help.

McIver was the preferred Conservative candidate. A little too conservative, but at least he's honest in his conservatism. I heard a story about a candidate's forum that the theatre community put on. McIver stood in front of an auditorium full of arts people and said if art is important, business will pay for it. The city shouldn't. I give him props for not blowing smoke up their ass, even if I don't agree with his opinion.

Nenshi seems like a progressive sort, made good use of social media and actually had policy. He also had the best buzz of any candidate in this city since Klein. Who knows, maybe he'll be Premier fifteen years from now. Of course, to do that he'll have to not fuck up. Here's hoping.

Note that Progressive in this case is not the same as Liberal or Socialist. Nenshi is a left-wing candidate only in the sense that he's left of other Calgary candidates. That makes him pretty centrist for Canada as a whole.

Now for some wonkish analysis/opinion/wild-ass-hand-waving:


Red=Nenshi, Green=Higgins, Blue=McIver. Don't laugh, it took me an hour to make this.

The colours are about what you'd expect. Nenshi did best where there were younger people, like the city center and did worse in more conservative areas of the city. McIver took his old stronghold of Ward 12. Ward 12 was one of only three wards where a single candidate got >50% of the vote. The other two, Ward 7 & 8 went to Nenshi.

I'm kind of surprised by Ward 10 - it's the only ward that Higgins took. The only thing I can think of is either Higgins has a lot of grass-roots support in Forest Lawn (perhaps she lives nearby), or there are a lot of people there who didn't want to vote for Nenshi, that otherwise would have.

Joe Connelly managed to come in a distant 4th, with a measurable 1% of votes cast. Everyone else fell into the background noise. I'm happy that the outer darkness is where Jon Lord and Barry Erskine wound up. They've both represented me in the past and I wasn't happy with their performance either time.

(Crossposted to [livejournal.com profile] calgarians)
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